Your Predictions
Past/Future:
Subject:
Only Show Most Recent Results:
Only Results From Past:
- Use the 'Show Stats' button to view your aggregated results.
- Over time, try to align the calibration bars with the calibration lines.
- A bar that does not reach the calibration line suggests you are overconfident. Try to select confidence levels more conservatively.
- A bar past the calibration line suggests you are underconfident. Try to select higher confidence levels more aggressively.
- Always attempt to answer correctly.
- First, calibrate your uncertainty about presently known facts.
- Then, predict future events by toggling to Future Mode.
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